Gonzales Poll Shows 67% of Marylanders Support a 3/5ths Vote Requirement for Tax Hikes 2-10-09
Gonzales Research &
Marketing Strategieswww.gonzalesresearch.com
Conducted for: Senator Andy Harris
January 2009 Statewide Results
| Response | Statewide |
| Favor |
67% |
| Oppose |
29% |
| No answer |
4% |
Methodology
Patrick E. Gonzales graduated from the University of Baltimore in 1981 with a degree in political science. He began his career as an analyst with Mason-Dixon Opinion Research and is the former president of Mason-Dixon Campaign Polling and Gonzales/Arscott Research & Communications, Inc.
Mr. Gonzales has polled and analyzed hundreds of elections in Maryland since the mid 1980’s. Additionally, he and his associates have conducted numerous market research projects and crafted message development programs for businesses and organizations throughout the state.
Hilary Duff Gonzales is Director of Sales and Marketing for Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies. Mrs. Gonzales has over 20 years experience promoting the state of Maryland, particularly in the tour and travel industry.
This survey was conducted by Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies from January 5th through January 9th, 2009. A total of 842 registered voters in Maryland were interviewed by telephone. A cross-section of interviews was conducted in each jurisdiction within the state to reflect general election voting patterns.
The margin of error (MOE), according to customary statistical standards, is no more than plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. There is a 95 percent probability that the “true” figures would fall within this range if the entire survey universe were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any demographic subgroup, such as gender, age or race.
Maryland Statewide Poll Sample Demographics
| Gender | Race | Region |
| Male 419 (50%) |
White 625 (74%) |
Eastern Shore/S Md 105 (12%) |
| Female 423 (50%) | Black 193 (23%) | Baltimore City 83 (10%) |
| Other/Ref 24 | Baltimore Suburbs 294 (35%) | |
| Washington Subs 258 (31%) | ||
| Western Maryland 102 (12%) | ||
| Party Registration | ||
| Democrat 471 (56%) | ||
| Republican 270 (32%) | ||
| Independent 101 (12%) |
Regional Groupings are as follows:
| Eastern Shore/ Southern Md | Baltimore City |
Baltimore Suburbs | Washington Suburbs | Western Maryland |
| Calvert Co. |
Baltimore City |
Anne Arundel Co. |
Montgomery Co. |
Allegany Co. |
| Caroline Co. | Baltimore Co. | Prince George’s Co. | Carroll Co. | |
| Cecil Co. | Harford Co. | Frederick Co. | ||
| Charles Co. | Howard Co. | Garrett Co. | ||
| Dorchester Co. | Washington Co. | |||
| Kent Co. | ||||
| Queen Anne’s Co. | ||||
| Somerset Co. | ||||
| St. Mary’s Co. | ||||
| Talbot Co. | ||||
| Wicomico Co. | ||||
| Worcester Co. |
Summary
Statewide, 67% of voters say they would favor a change in Maryland law that required a “super-majority” vote of sixty percent in the state legislature to pass any tax increase, while 29% say they would oppose such a change, with 4% offering no response.
Seventy-one percent of whites favor a change to a 60 percent “super-majority” vote in the state legislature to pass a tax increase and 25% oppose it, while 55% of African-Americans favor a “super-majority” and 40% oppose it.
Nearly three-fourths of voters in the Baltimore Suburbs (72%), the Eastern Sore/Southern Maryland (75%), and Western Maryland (78%) say they would favor a change in Maryland law that required a “super-majority” vote of sixty percent in the state legislature to pass any tax increase.
A look at the results by party affiliation:
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QUESTION: Currently, Maryland law requires only a simple majority vote of 50 percent in the state legislature to pass a tax increase. Would you favor or oppose a change in Maryland law that required a “super-majority” vote of 60 percent in the state legislature to pass any tax increase?
Statewide Results
| Response | Statewide |
| Favor |
67% |
| Oppose |
29% |
| No answer |
4% |
Party – Favor or oppose a change in Maryland law that required a “super-majority” vote of 60 percent in the state legislature to pass any tax increase?
| Party |
Favor |
Oppose |
No
Answer |
| Democrat |
57% |
39% |
4% |
| Republican |
89% |
8% |
3% |
| Independent |
56% |
36% |
8% |
Race - Favor or oppose a change in Maryland law that required a “super-majority” vote of 60 percent in the state legislature to pass any tax increase?
| Race |
Favor |
Oppose |
No
Answer |
| White |
71% |
25% |
4% |
| African-
American |
55% |
40% |
5% |
Gender - Favor or oppose a change in Maryland law that required a “super-majority” vote of 60 percent in the state legislature to pass any tax increase?
| Gender |
Favor |
Oppose |
No
Answer |
| Male |
71% |
27% |
2% |
| Female |
63% |
31% |
6% |
Region - Favor or oppose a change in Maryland law that required a “super-majority” vote of 60 percent in the state legislature to pass any tax increase?
| Region | Favor |
Oppose |
No
Answer |
| Eastern Shore/ Southern MD | 75% |
19% |
6% |
| Baltimore City |
59% |
34% |
7% |
| Baltimore Suburbs | 72% |
24% |
4% |
| Washington Suburbs | 56% |
41% |
3% |
| Western Maryland | 78% |
20% |
2% |



