Gonzales Poll Shows 67% of Marylanders Support a 3/5ths Vote Requirement for Tax Hikes 2-10-09

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Gonzales Research &  Marketing Strategies

www.gonzalesresearch.com 

Conducted for:  Senator Andy Harris 
 
January 2009 Statewide Results 

Response Statewide
   
 
Favor
 
67%
 
Oppose
 
29%
 
No answer
 
4%
 
 


 

Methodology 
 
 

Patrick E. Gonzales graduated from the University of Baltimore in 1981 with a degree in political science.  He began his career as an analyst with Mason-Dixon Opinion Research and is the former president of Mason-Dixon Campaign Polling and Gonzales/Arscott Research & Communications, Inc.   

Mr. Gonzales has polled and analyzed hundreds of elections in Maryland since the mid 1980’s.  Additionally, he and his associates have conducted numerous market research projects and crafted message development programs for businesses and organizations throughout the state. 

Hilary Duff Gonzales is Director of Sales and Marketing for Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies.  Mrs. Gonzales has over 20 years experience promoting the state of Maryland, particularly in the tour and travel industry. 

This survey was conducted by Gonzales Research & Marketing Strategies from January 5th through January 9th, 2009.  A total of 842 registered voters in Maryland were interviewed by telephone.  A cross-section of interviews was conducted in each jurisdiction within the state to reflect general election voting patterns.  

The margin of error (MOE), according to customary statistical standards, is no more than plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.  There is a 95 percent probability that the “true” figures would fall within this range if the entire survey universe were sampled.  The margin for error is higher for any demographic subgroup, such as gender, age or race.  

      Maryland Statewide Poll Sample Demographics 

Gender Race Region
 
Male      419   (50%)
 
White      625   (74%)
 
Eastern Shore/S Md 105 (12%)
Female      423   (50%) Black      193   (23%) Baltimore City          83  (10%)
  Other/Ref   24  Baltimore Suburbs  294  (35%)
    Washington Subs 258   (31%)
    Western Maryland   102    (12%)
Party Registration    
Democrat  471   (56%)    
Republican    270   (32%)    
Independent  101   (12%)    

 
 
 
 

Regional Groupings are as follows: 

Eastern Shore/ Southern Md  
Baltimore City
Baltimore Suburbs Washington Suburbs Western Maryland
 
Calvert Co.
 
Baltimore City
 
Anne Arundel Co.
 
Montgomery Co.
 
Allegany Co.
Caroline Co.   Baltimore Co. Prince George’s Co. Carroll Co.
Cecil Co.   Harford Co.   Frederick Co.
Charles Co.   Howard Co.   Garrett Co.
Dorchester Co.       Washington Co.
Kent Co.        
Queen Anne’s Co.        
Somerset Co.        
St. Mary’s Co.        
Talbot Co.        
Wicomico Co.        
Worcester Co.        

 

 

 

Summary 
 

Statewide, 67% of voters say they would favor a change in Maryland law that required a “super-majority” vote of sixty percent in the state legislature to pass any tax increase, while 29% say they would oppose such a change, with 4% offering no response.     

Seventy-one percent of whites favor a change to a 60 percent “super-majority” vote in the state legislature to pass a tax increase and 25% oppose it, while 55% of African-Americans favor a “super-majority” and 40% oppose it. 

Nearly three-fourths of voters in the Baltimore Suburbs (72%), the Eastern Sore/Southern Maryland (75%), and Western Maryland (78%) say they would favor a change in Maryland law that required a “super-majority” vote of sixty percent in the state legislature to pass any tax increase.     
 

A look at the results by party affiliation: 

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QUESTION: Currently, Maryland law requires only a simple majority vote of 50 percent in the state legislature to pass a tax increase.  Would you favor or oppose a change in Maryland law that required a “super-majority” vote of 60 percent in the state legislature to pass any tax increase?

Statewide Results 

Response Statewide
   
 
Favor
 
67%
 
Oppose
 
29%
 
No answer
 
4%

 
 

      Party – Favor or oppose a change in Maryland law that required a “super-majority” vote of 60 percent in the state legislature to pass any tax increase? 

 
Party
 
Favor
 
Oppose
No

Answer

       
 
Democrat
 
57%
 
39%
 
4%
 
Republican
 
89%
 
8%
 
3%
 
Independent
 
56%
 
36%
 
8%

      Race - Favor or oppose a change in Maryland law that required a “super-majority” vote of 60 percent in the state legislature to pass any tax increase? 

 
Race
 
Favor
 
Oppose
No

Answer

       
 
White
 
71%
 
25%
 
4%
African-

American

 
55%
 
40%
 
5%

       Gender - Favor or oppose a change in Maryland law that required a “super-majority” vote of 60 percent in the state legislature to pass any tax increase? 

 
Gender
 
Favor
 
Oppose
No

Answer

       
 
Male
 
71%
 
27%
 
2%
 
Female
 
63%
 
31%
 
6%

      Region - Favor or oppose a change in Maryland law that required a “super-majority” vote of 60 percent in the state legislature to pass any tax increase? 

Region  
Favor
 
Oppose
No

Answer

       
Eastern Shore/ Southern MD  
75%
 
19%
 
6%
 
Baltimore City
 
59%
 
34%
 
7%
Baltimore Suburbs  
72%
 
24%
 
4%
Washington Suburbs  
56%
 
41%
 
3%
Western Maryland  
78%
 
20%
 
2%

 

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